Daesung Kim
MATH 461: Probability Theory  (Spring 2021)

Course Information

Grading policy

  • HW: 20% (weekly, the lowest one HW will be dropped.)
  • Online quizzes: 20% (biweekly, in class, the loewst one quiz will be dropped.)
  • Midterms: 15% and 20% (Mar 10 and Apr 21, in class, the lower exam score will be 15% and the other 20%.)
  • Final: 25%

Tentative Schedule

Note Date Topic Assignments
W1 Jan 25 Basic Combinatorics I (Sec 1.1-3)
Jan 27 Basic Combinatorics II (Sec 1.4-6)
Jan 29 Basic Combinatorics III (Sec 1.4-6)
W2 Feb 1 Axioms of Probability I (Sec 2.2-3)
Feb 3 Axioms of Probability II (Sec 2.4) Quiz 1
Feb 5 Sample spaces having equally likely (Sec 2.5) HW 1
W3 Feb 8 Conditional Probabilities (Sec 3.2)
Feb 10 Bayes's Formula (Sec 3.3)
Feb 12 Independent Events (Sec 3.4) HW 2
W4 Feb 15 Random Variables (Sec 4.1-2, 10) Quiz 2
Feb 17 No class
Feb 19 Expectation (Sec 4.3, 4, 6) HW 3
W5 Feb 22 Variance (Sec 4.5)
Feb 24 Bernoulli and Binomial RVs (Sec 4.6)
Feb 26 Poisson RVs (Sec 4.7) HW 4
W6 Mar 1 Other discrete rvs (sec 4.8)
Mar 3 Other discrete rvs (sec 4.8) quiz 3
Mar 5 Intro to continuous random variables (sec 5.1) hw 5
W7 Mar 8 Review
Mar 10 Midterm 1
Mar 12 Expectation and variance of continuous rvs (sec 5.2)
W8 Mar 15 The uniform random variable (sec 5.3)
Mar 17 Normal random variables (sec 5.4-7) quiz 4
Mar 19 Exponential random variables (sec 5.4-7) hw 6
W9 Mar 22 Other random variables (sec 5.4-7)
Mar 24 No class
Mar 26 Joint distribution functions i (sec 6.1) hw 7
W10 Mar 29 Joint distribution functions ii (sec 6.1)
Mar 31 Independent random variables (sec 6.2) quiz 5
Apr 2 Sums of independent random variables (sec 6.3)
W11 Apr 5 Conditional distribution (sec 6.4-5) hw 8
Apr 7 Joint distribution of functions of rvs (sec 6.7)
Apr 9 Expectation of functions of rvs (sec 7.2)
W12 Apr 12 The number of events that occur (sec 7.3) hw 9
Apr 14 Covariance (sec 7.4) quiz 6
Apr 16 Conditional expectation (sec 7.5)
W13 Apr 19 Review hw 10
Apr 21 Midterm 2
Apr 23 Moment generating functions (sec 7.7)
W14 Apr 26 Markov's and chebyshev's inequalities (sec 8.2)
Apr 28 Other inequalities (sec 8.5) quiz 7
Apr 30 The law of large numbers (sec 8.2, 4)
W15 May 3 Central limit theorem (sec 8.3)
May 5 Review hw 11
Final week May 7-12 Final take-home exam
May 13-14 Final prairielearn exam